jueves, 30 de octubre de 2014

Sprint: Credit Suisse Ups to Hold, Softbank Could Buy Them Out




Shares of Sprint (S) are unchanged at $6 despite a boost from Credit Suisse's Joseph Mastrogiovanni, who this morning raised his rating to Neutral from Underperform, based on an expectation customer losses are going to turn a corner, and that backer Softbank may try to buy out the 20% of the stock it doesn't own.


First, Sprint may have reached bottom in losing subscribers and may actually show net additions for Q3 when it reports on Monday, thinks Mastrogiovanni:


We believe Sprint continued to see pressure on subscriber metrics through the first two months of the quarter, but saw an improvement in September owing to pricing changes. As such, we're reducing our fiscal 2Q14 (calendar 3Q14) net add estimate to a loss of 100k from a gain of 100k. We're also reducing F2Q14 EBITDA 2.4% to $1.6B on a 70 bps reduction to our wireless EBITDA margin, partially due to a lower EIP take rate of 25%. Finally, we are reducing our calendar year 2014 EBITDA estimate to $6.745B from $6.817B, largely due to reductions to our EIP take-rates. We now estimate EIP sales in 2014 will be 27% of total postpaid device sales compared to 39% previously.


Second, Softbank, which cashed out of some holdings of Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) in that company's September 19th IPO, has enough cash to buy out the remainder of Sprint, he observes, and there is still the prospect of a merger with T-Mobile US (TMUS):


While there's no reason to believe Softbank will change its strategy in the near-term and look to acquire the remainder of Sprint, we feel the risk that it could take-in the company has increased. The IPO of Alibaba has given Softbank a treasure chest of liquidity (Softbank owns ~32% of Alibaba). It would cost less than $5B to buy the remaining outstanding shares of Sprint at $6/share. Furthermore, we had argued that Softbank wanted the public equity to use in a potential deal with T-Mobile. It was reported that Sprint ended its pursuit of T-Mobile in August 2014, which removes a reason to keep the public equity to consummate a deal. However, we believe Sprint could revisit a merger with T- Mobile if there is a party change in the 2016 elections, which could be reason enough to leave the public stub, but it wouldn't prevent short-term stock price appreciation if additional speculation emerged.







 

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martes, 28 de octubre de 2014

How the Dow Jones industrial average fared Tuesday


Strong corporate earnings pushed up stocks across industries on Tuesday, with the energy sector and small companies leading the gains.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 187.81 points, or 1.1 percent, to 17,005.75.

The S&P 500 rose 23.42 points, or 1.2 percent, to 1,985.05.

The Nasdaq composite climbed 78.36 points, or 1.8 percent, to 4,564.29.

For the week:

The Dow is up 200.34 points, or 1.2 percent.

The S&P 500 index is up 20.47 points, or 1 percent.

The Nasdaq is up 80.58 points, or 1.8 percent.

For the year:

The Dow is up 429.09 points, or 2.6 percent.

The S&P 500 index is up 136.69 points, or 7.4 percent.

The Nasdaq is up 387.70 points, or 9.3 percent.

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Why now may be a good time to sell the rally in small caps


The beleaguered Russell 2000 index may have rallied yesterday, but is a huge technical indicator flashing a sell sign?

Tuesday's 2.5 percent rally in the Russell 2000 means the index is getting close to breaking its key 200-day moving average, which it has been trading under since Sept. 19.

(Read: Wall St extends gains late; Russell 2000 above key level)

A break above the 200-day is often considered a buy signal for many technical traders. But one technician thinks the current levels are a screaming sell, at least when it comes to this index.

"In a selective market, you have to be selective," said Ari Wald, head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer & Co. "Investors should be staying away from … the small caps stocks and the Russell 2000 index in particular."

View photo

.

Wald sees a year-long distributive top in the Russell 2000, indicating buyer exhaustion. Things started to get bad in the last selloff when the index broke below a triangle pattern. And the 200-day moving average is also showing problems, he said.

"The 200-day is slopping lower," Wald explained. "Compared to the S&P 500, this index has more resistance, less support, and much worse momentum as well. So from a risk management perspective, we would be staying away from small caps."

Wald recommends selling the Russell 2000 as it hits its 200-day moving average resistance level. "Those funds are much better used in the S&P 500," he added.

However, David Seaburg, head of equity sales trading at Cowen and Company, maintains that the Russell 2000 is headed higher, and he expects it to close 2014 in the black. “The performance gap between the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500 will close significantly into year-end, led by the outperformance of the Russell,” he said. Driving that will be funds looking to reduce their risk by exiting short positions in the index before the last days of December.

(Watch: US stocks rally on earnings; Dow tops 17,000)

"Everyone expected to be long into year-end, however the forced ‘de-risking’ just made it happen a little sooner than anyone expected," Seaburg said. "Now that funds have a long-bias, I expect performance chasing to run its course, with the Russell 2000 being the biggest beneficiary."

That, however, may not happen, according to Gina Sanchez, founder of Chantico Global. Instead, she sees the fundamentals agreeing with the technicals.

"The fundamentals for the Russell have continued to deteriorate," said Sanchez, a CNBC contributor. "We've actually seen the P/E [price-to-earnings multiple] rising since Q2, not because the price is rising but because earnings estimates are being revised down more substantially than prices are falling. That's a terrible sign."

And about a quarter of the companies in the Russell 2000 aren't profitable, Sanchez said. "Let's keep that in mind when we're thinking about what we want to be buying. I think you're catching falling knives here. I think this is an opportunity to sell."

LikeTweet

Why now may be a good time to sell the rally in small caps




The beleaguered Russell 2000 index may have rallied yesterday, but is a huge technical indicator flashing a sell sign?


Tuesday's 2.5 percent rally in the Russell 2000 means the index is getting close to breaking its key 200-day moving average, which it has been trading under since Sept. 19.


(Read: Wall St extends gains late; Russell 2000 above key level)


A break above the 200-day is often considered a buy signal for many technical traders. But one technician thinks the current levels are a screaming sell, at least when it comes to this index.


"In a selective market, you have to be selective," said Ari Wald, head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer & Co. "Investors should be staying away from ... the small caps stocks and the Russell 2000 index in particular."






View photo


.




Wald sees a year-long distributive top in the Russell 2000, indicating buyer exhaustion. Things started to get bad in the last selloff when the index broke below a triangle pattern. And the 200-day moving average is also showing problems, he said.


"The 200-day is slopping lower," Wald explained. "Compared to the S&P 500, this index has more resistance, less support, and much worse momentum as well. So from a risk management perspective, we would be staying away from small caps."


Wald recommends selling the Russell 2000 as it hits its 200-day moving average resistance level. "Those funds are much better used in the S&P 500," he added.


However, David Seaburg, head of equity sales trading at Cowen and Company, maintains that the Russell 2000 is headed higher, and he expects it to close 2014 in the black. "The performance gap between the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500 will close significantly into year-end, led by the outperformance of the Russell," he said. Driving that will be funds looking to reduce their risk by exiting short positions in the index before the last days of December.


(Watch: US stocks rally on earnings; Dow tops 17,000)


"Everyone expected to be long into year-end, however the forced 'de-risking' just made it happen a little sooner than anyone expected," Seaburg said. "Now that funds have a long-bias, I expect performance chasing to run its course, with the Russell 2000 being the biggest beneficiary."


That, however, may not happen, according to Gina Sanchez, founder of Chantico Global. Instead, she sees the fundamentals agreeing with the technicals.


"The fundamentals for the Russell have continued to deteriorate," said Sanchez, a CNBC contributor. "We've actually seen the P/E [price-to-earnings multiple] rising since Q2, not because the price is rising but because earnings estimates are being revised down more substantially than prices are falling. That's a terrible sign."


And about a quarter of the companies in the Russell 2000 aren't profitable, Sanchez said. "Let's keep that in mind when we're thinking about what we want to be buying. I think you're catching falling knives here. I think this is an opportunity to sell."







 

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Off the Charts: Due for pullback?

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Off the Charts: Due for pullback?












 

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DOW CHEMICAL CO /DE/ Files SEC form 10-Q, Quarterly Report



PART I – FINANCIAL INFORMATION, Item 2. Management’s Discussion and

(Unaudited) Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations


OVERVIEW


The Company reported sales in the third quarter of 2014 of $14.4 billion, up
5 percent from $13.7 billion in the third quarter of 2013, with increases in
all operating segments, except Coatings and Infrastructure Solutions and
Agricultural Sciences which remained flat. Sales increased in all geographic
areas, led by North America (up 7 percent) and Latin America (up 6 percent).

Price was up 3 percent compared with the same period last year. Price
increased in all operating segments, except Electronic and Functional
Materials and Coatings and Infrastructure Solutions which remained flat.
Price increased in all geographic areas, led by North America (up 4 percent).

Volume increased 2 percent compared with the third quarter of 2013, as
increases in Performance Materials (up 6 percent), Electronic and Functional
Materials (up 3 percent) and Performance Plastics (up 2 percent) more than
offset volume declines in Agricultural Sciences (down 2 percent) and
Feedstocks and Energy (down 1 percent). Coatings and Infrastructure Solutions
volume remained flat. Volume increased in all geographic areas, except
Europe, Middle East and Africa (“EMEA”) which remained flat. Excluding recent
divestitures(1), Performance Plastics volume was up 3 percent.

Purchased feedstock and energy costs, which account for more than one-third
of Dow’s total costs, were essentially flat compared with the third quarter
of 2013, as increased monomer costs were nearly offset by lower propane and
naphtha costs.

Research and development (“R&D”) expenses were down slightly in the third
quarter of 2014 compared with the same period last year. Selling, general and
administrative (“SG&A”) expenses increased in the third quarter of 2014
compared with the same period last year, primarily due to growth initiatives,
including commercial activities in Agricultural Sciences, and higher
performance-based compensation costs.

Equity earnings were $229 million in the third quarter of 2014, down $93
million from $322 million in the third quarter of 2013, primarily due to
higher equity losses from Sadara Chemical Company (“Sadara”) and lower
earnings from EQUATE Petrochemical Company K.S.C. (“EQUATE”) and MEGlobal.

On September 16, 2014, the Company issued $2 billion of debt with 10-, 20-
and 30-year tenor at low coupons.

The Company purchased 18.8 million shares of common stock at a cost of $1.0
billion during the third quarter of 2014.

In addition to the financial highlights, the following announcements were made
during or subsequent to the third quarter of 2014:

On September 8, 2014, the Company announced that William H. Weideman, Chief
Financial Officer and Executive Vice President; and David E. Kepler,
Executive Vice President, Chief Sustainability Officer and Chief Information
Officer, have elected to retire from the Company at the end of 2014.

The Board of Directors elected Howard I. Ungerleider Chief Financial Officer,
effective October 1, 2014.

On September 8, 2014, the Company announced that James (Jim) R. Fitterling
was named Vice Chairman, Business Operations and Joe E. Harlan was named
Chief Commercial Officer and Vice Chairman, Market Businesses, effective
October 1, 2014.

On October 2, 2014, the Company announced ANGUS Chemical Company, the sodium
borohydride business and the AgroFresh business are being marketed for
divestment, in line with the Company’s plans to divest non-strategic
businesses and assets that are expected to generated $4.5 billion to $6
billion in proceeds.

(1) Excludes sales related to Nippon Unicar Company Limited, divested on July 1,
2013, and sales of the Polypropylene Licensing and Catalysts business,
divested on December 2, 2013.




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On October 2, 2014, the Company announced it has signed a definitive
agreement with ExxonMobil Chemical Company for an ownership restructure of
Univation Technologies, LLC (“Univation”), which will result in Univation
becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of Dow. The transaction is expected to
close in the first quarter of 2015, pending regulatory approval.

On July 22, 2014, the Company’s Fort Saskatchewan manufacturing site in
Alberta, Canada experienced an unplanned outage of its ethylene production
facility. On July 29, 2014, the facility resumed ethylene production at a
significantly reduced rate. The facility returned to normal operations in
September.

On September 17, 2014, the U.S. Department of Agriculture issued deregulation
decisions for Dow AgroSciences LLC’s Enlist corn and soybean events. On
October 15, 2014, the Company announced it received registration from the
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency for Enlist Duo herbicide, the companion
herbicide for use with Enlist corn and soybeans, with respect to six states.
With these decisions, Dow AgroSciences has now obtained all of the federal
approvals necessary for commercialization of the Enlist Weed Control System
in six key states in the United States.

  Selected Financial Data                          Three Months Ended         Nine Months Ended                                                  Sep 30,      Sep 30,      Sep 30,      Sep 30,  In millions, except per share amounts              2014         2013         2014         2013  Net sales                                     $  14,405     $ 13,734     $ 43,783     $ 42,694    Cost of sales                                 $  11,776     $ 11,716     $ 35,853     $ 35,526  Percent of net sales                               81.7 %       85.3 %       81.9 %       83.2 %    Research and development expenses             $     409     $    418     $  1,219     $  1,270  Percent of net sales                                2.8 %        3.0 %        2.8 %        3.0 %    Selling, general and administrative expenses  $     753     $    698     $  2,283     $  2,186  Percent of net sales                                5.2 %        5.1 %        5.2 %        5.1 %    Effective tax rate                                 28.2 %       25.2 %       27.7 %       30.1 %    Net income available for common stockholders  $     852     $    594     $  2,698     $  3,484    Earnings per common share - basic             $    0.72     $   0.50     $   2.27     $   2.92  Earnings per common share - diluted           $    0.71     $   0.49     $   2.24     $   2.88    Operating rate percentage                            88 %         82 %         85 %         81 %    


RESULTS OF OPERATIONS


Net Sales

Net sales in the third quarter of 2014 were $14.4 billion, up 5 percent from
$13.7 billion in the third quarter of last year, with price up 3 percent and
volume up 2 percent. Price increased in all operating segments, except
Electronic and Functional Materials and Coatings and Infrastructure Solutions
which remained flat. Price increased in all geographic areas, led by North
America (up 4 percent). Volume was up 2 percent as increases in Performance
Materials (up 6 percent), Electronic and Functional Materials (up 3 percent) and
Performance Plastics (up 2 percent) more than offset volume declines in
Agricultural Sciences (down 2 percent) and Feedstocks and Energy (down 1
percent). Coatings and Infrastructure Solutions volume remained flat. Volume in
Performance Plastics was impacted by recent divestitures. Excluding these
divestitures, volume in Performance Plastics was up 3 percent. Volume increased
in all geographic areas, except EMEA which remained flat.

Net sales for the first nine months of 2014 were $43.8 billion, up 3 percent
from $42.7 billion in the same period last year, with price up 2 percent and
volume up 1 percent. Price increases in Performance Plastics (up 6 percent) and
Performance Materials (up 1 percent) more than offset price declines in
Electronic and Functional Materials and Feedstocks and Energy (each down
1 percent). Price remained flat in Coatings and Infrastructure Solutions and
Agricultural Sciences. Price increased in all geographic areas, led by North
America (up 3 percent). Volume was up 1 percent with increases in all operating
segments, except Performance Plastics (down 2 percent) which reflects the impact
of recent divestitures. Excluding these divestitures,




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volume in Performance Plastics was flat. Volume increased in EMEA and Asia
Pacific (each up 2 percent) and remained flat in North America and Latin
America.

Gross Margin

Gross margin was $2.6 billion in the third quarter of 2014, up from $2.0 billion
in the third quarter of last year. The increase in gross margin was primarily
due to higher selling prices, increased sales volume and higher operating rates
which were partially offset by higher performance-based compensation costs.
Gross margin was negatively impacted by $7 million of restructuring plan
implementation costs in the third quarter of 2013. Year to date, gross margin
was $7.9 billion, compared with $7.2 billion in the first nine months of 2013.
The increase in gross margin was primarily due to higher selling prices,
increased sales volume and higher operating rates which more than offset higher
feedstock and energy costs. Gross margin was negatively impacted by $30 million
of restructuring plan implementation costs in the first nine months of 2013.

Operating Rate

The Company’s global plant operating rate was 88 percent of capacity in the
third quarter of 2014, up from 82 percent in the third quarter of 2013,
reflecting increased demand and productivity improvements. For the first nine
months of 2014, the Company’s global plant operating rate was 85 percent, up
from 81 percent in the first nine months of 2013.

Personnel Count

Personnel count was 52,186 at September 30, 2014, down from 52,731 at
December 31, 2013 and up from 52,030 at September 30, 2013. Headcount decreased
from December 31, 2013 due to the reduction of seasonal employees in the
Agricultural Sciences operating segment and the impact of the Company’s 2012
restructuring programs, which more than offset increased hiring for the
Company’s growth initiatives.

Research and Development Expenses

R&D expenses totaled $409 million in the third quarter of 2014, down slightly
from $418 million in the third quarter of last year. For the first nine months
of 2014, R&D expenses totaled $1,219 million, down from $1,270 million in the
first nine months of 2013.

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses
SG&A expenses totaled $753 million in the third quarter of 2014, up $55 million
(8 percent) from $698 million in the third quarter of last year, driven
primarily by growth initiatives, including commercial activities in Agricultural
Sciences, and higher performance-based compensation costs. For the first nine
months of 2014, SG&A expenses totaled $2,283 million, up from $2,186 million in
the first nine months of 2013.

Amortization of Intangibles

Amortization of intangibles was $108 million in the third quarter of 2014, down
from $114 million in the third quarter of 2013. In the first nine months of
2014, amortization of intangibles was $330 million, down from $344 million in
the same period last year. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements
for additional information on intangible assets.

Equity in Earnings of Nonconsolidated Affiliates
Dow’s share of the earnings of nonconsolidated affiliates was $229 million in
the third quarter of 2014, down from $322 million in the third quarter of 2013,
primarily due to higher equity losses from Sadara and lower equity earnings from
EQUATE and MEGlobal. For the first nine months of 2014, Dow’s share of the
earnings of nonconsolidated affiliates was $707 million, down from $780 million
in the same period last year, as increased earnings from Dow Corning Corporation
(“Dow Corning”) were more than offset by lower earnings from EQUATE, MEGlobal
and Univation and increased equity losses from Sadara.

Sundry Income (Expense) – Net

Sundry income (expense) – net includes a variety of income and expense items
such as the gain or loss on foreign currency exchange, dividends from
investments and gains and losses on sales of investments and assets. Sundry
income (expense) – net in the third quarter of 2014 was net expense of $23
million, a decrease of $82 million compared with net income of $59 million in
the third quarter of 2013. The third quarter of 2014 included gains on asset
sales which were more than offset by foreign currency exchange losses and
$12 million of transaction expenses related to the planned separation of the
Company’s chlorine value chain (reflected in Corporate). The third quarter of
2013 included gains on sales of assets and an equity method investment. Year to
date, sundry income (expense) – net was net income of $31 million, a decrease of
$2,049 million compared with net income of $2,080 million in the same period
last year. The first nine months of 2014 included a gain related to the
termination of an off-take agreement and gains on asset sales partially offset
by foreign currency exchange losses and $30 million of transaction expenses
related to the planned separation of the Company’s chlorine value chain
(reflected in Corporate). The first nine months of 2013 included a gain of
$2.161 billion related to damages awarded to the Company in the




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K-Dow arbitration proceeding (reflected in Corporate), gains on sales of assets
and equity method investments and a $173 million loss on the early
extinguishment of debt (reflected in Corporate). See Note 8 to the Consolidated
Financial Statements for additional information related to the K-Dow arbitration
proceedings and Note 10 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional
information related to the early extinguishment of debt.

Net Interest Expense

Net interest expense (interest expense less capitalized interest and interest
income) was $223 million in the third quarter of 2014 compared with $253 million
in the third quarter of last year. Year to date, net interest expense was $689
million compared with $810 million in the first nine months of 2013. The decline
in net interest expense reflects the effect of the Company’s deleveraging
activities in 2013 and lower debt financing costs. Interest income was $10
million in the third quarter of 2014 compared with $11 million in the third
quarter of 2013, and $32 million for the first nine months of 2014 compared with
$29 million in the first nine months of 2013.

Provision for Income Taxes

The effective tax rate for the third quarter of 2014 was 28.2 percent compared
with 25.2 percent for the third quarter of 2013. For the first nine months of
2014, the effective tax rate was 27.7 percent compared with 30.1 percent for the
first nine months of 2013. The Company’s effective tax rate fluctuates based on,
among other factors, where income is earned, reinvestment assertions regarding
foreign income and the level of income relative to tax credits available. For
example, as the percentage of foreign sourced income increases, the Company’s
effective tax rate declines. The Company’s tax rate is also influenced by the
level of equity earnings, since most of the earnings from the Company’s equity
method investments are taxed at the joint venture level. The increase in the tax
rate in the third quarter of 2014 compared with the same period last year was
primarily due to a change in the geographic mix of earnings. The decrease in the
tax rate in the first nine months of 2014 compared with 2013 was primarily due
to a change in the geographic mix of earnings and a $223 million tax charge
recorded in the first nine months of 2013 related to the adjustment of uncertain
tax positions, which was partially offset by the level of taxation related to
the K-Dow arbitration award. See Note 15 to the Consolidated Financial
Statements for additional information on income taxes.

Net Income Attributable to Noncontrolling Interests
Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests was $27 million in the third
quarter of 2014, up from $6 million in the third quarter of 2013. For the first
nine months of 2014, net income attributable to noncontrolling interests was $47
million, down slightly compared with $49 million in the same period last year.

Preferred Stock Dividends

Preferred stock dividends of $85 million were recognized in the third quarters
of 2014 and 2013 ($255 million in the first nine months of 2014 and 2013),
related to the Company’s Cumulative Convertible Perpetual Preferred Stock,
Series A.

Net Income Available for Common Stockholders
Net income available for common stockholders was $852 million, or $0.71 per
share, in the third quarter of 2014, compared with $594 million, or $0.49 per
share, in the third quarter of 2013. Net income available for common
stockholders for the first nine months of 2014 was $2,698 million, or $2.24 per
share, compared with $3,484 million, or $2.88 per share for the same period of
2013. During the second quarter of 2013, the Company recorded a gain related to
the K-Dow arbitration which significantly increased “Net Income” for the
nine-month period ended September 30, 2013. As a result of this increase, the
assumed conversion of the Company’s Cumulative Convertible Perpetual Preferred
Stock, Series A into potential shares of the Company’s common stock was
dilutive. See Note 14 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for details on
the Company’s earnings per share calculations.




Table of Contents

  Certain Items Impacting Results  The following tables summarize the impact of certain items recorded in the  three- and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2014 and September 30, 2013,  and previously described in this section:    Certain Items Impacting Results          Pretax Impact (1)                Net Income (2)              EPS - Diluted (3)                                          Three Months Ended              Three Months Ended           Three Months Ended  In millions, except per share         Sep 30,          Sep 30,        Sep 30,         Sep 30,        Sep 30,      Sep 30,  amounts (Unaudited)                      2014             2013           2014            2013           2014         2013  Adjusted to exclude certain items  (non-GAAP measures)                                                $      860       $     599     $     0.72     $   0.50  Certain items:  Cost of sales:  Restructuring plan implementation  costs                              $        -       $       (7 )            -              (5 )            -        (0.01 )  Sundry income (expense) - net:  Chlorine value chain separation  costs                                     (12 )              -             (8 )             -          (0.01 )          -  Total certain items                $      (12 )     $       (7 )   $       (8 )     $      (5 )   $    (0.01 )   $  (0.01 )  Reported GAAP Amounts                                              $      852       $     594     $     0.71     $   0.49        Certain Items Impacting Results             Pretax Impact (1)                     Net Income (2)                     EPS - Diluted (3) (4)                                              Nine Months Ended                    Nine Months Ended                     Nine Months Ended  In millions, except per share  amounts (Unaudited)                 Sep 30, 2014        Sep 30, 2013      Sep 30, 2014      Sep 30, 2013       Sep 30, 2014         Sep 30, 2013  Adjusted to exclude certain items  (non-GAAP measures)                                                      $       2,717     $       2,188     $         2.26       $         1.83  Certain items:  Cost of sales:  Restructuring plan implementation  costs                              $           -       $         (30 )               -               (20 )                -                (0.02 )  Selling, general and  administrative expenses:  Restructuring plan implementation  costs                                          -                  (1 )               -                (1 )                -                    -  Sundry income (expense) - net:  Chlorine value chain separation  costs                                        (30 )                 -               (19 )               -              (0.02 )                  -  Loss on early extinguishment of  debt                                           -                (170 )               -              (107 )                -                (0.09 )  Gain from K-Dow arbitration                    -               2,161                 -             1,647                  -                 1.37  Provision for income taxes:  Uncertain tax position adjustments             -                   -                 -              (223 )                -                (0.19 )  Total certain items                $         (30 )     $       1,960     $         (19 )   $       1,296     $        (0.02 )     $         1.07  Dilutive effect of assumed  preferred stock conversion into  shares of common stock                                                                                                            $        (0.02 )  Reported GAAP Amounts (5) (6)                                            $       2,698     $       3,484     $         2.24       $         2.88    

(1) Impact on “Income Before Income Taxes.”

(2) “Net Income Available for The Dow Chemical Company Common Stockholders.”

(3) “Earnings per common share – diluted.”

(4) For the nine-month period ended September 30, 2013, conversion of the
Company’s Cumulative Convertible Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series A
(“Preferred Stock”) into shares of the Company’s common stock was excluded
from the calculation of “Diluted earnings per share adjusted to exclude
certain items” as well as the earnings per share impact of certain items
because the effect of including them would have been antidilutive.

(5) For the nine-month period ended September 30, 2013, an assumed conversion of
the Company’s Preferred Stock into shares of the Company’s common stock was
included in the calculation of diluted earnings per share (reported GAAP
amount).

(6) The Company used “Net Income Attributable to The Dow Chemical Company” when
calculating diluted earnings per share (reported GAAP amount) for the
nine-month period ended September 30, 2013, as it excludes preferred
dividends of $255 million.

The Company’s management believes that measures of income adjusted to exclude
certain items (“non-GAAP” financial measures) provide relevant and meaningful
information to investors about the ongoing operating results of the Company.
Such financial measures are not recognized in accordance with accounting
principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“U.S. GAAP”) and
should not be viewed as an alternative to U.S. GAAP financial measures of
performance.




Table of Contents


OUTLOOK


Dow is focused on executing against its strategic priorities to improve return
on capital, increase cash flow, expand margins and create significant
shareholder value.

Against the backdrop of a slow and volatile global operating environment, Dow
remains committed to delivering on Company-specific actions and objectives.
Strategic investments in the U.S. Gulf Coast and the Middle East are progressing
as planned, on time and on budget. Commercialization of science-driven
innovations continues to be a source of differentiation for the Company.
Further, exiting non-strategic businesses and assets remains a priority. Dow
will continue leveraging its global reach, low-cost positions, integration and
industry-leading feedstock and operational flexibility to manage its portfolio
in the midst of volatile energy markets.

Together, with the expected completion of the Company’s $4.5 billion share
buy-back authorization by year-end, Dow is positioned well to continue rewarding
shareholders.


SEGMENT RESULTS


The Company uses EBITDA (which Dow defines as earnings (i.e., “Net Income”)
before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization) as its measure of
profit/loss for segment reporting purposes. EBITDA by operating segment includes
all operating items relating to the businesses; items that principally apply to
the Company as a whole are assigned to Corporate. Additional information
regarding the Company’s operating segments and a reconciliation of EBITDA to
“Income Before Income Taxes” can be found in Note 17 to the Consolidated
Financial Statements.




Table of Contents

  SALES VOLUME AND PRICE BY OPERATING SEGMENT AND GEOGRAPHIC AREA  Sales Volume and Price by Operating Segment and        Three Months Ended                  Nine Months Ended  Geographic Area                                           Sep 30, 2014                       Sep 30, 2014  Percentage change from prior year                Volume       Price       Total      Volume      Price      Total  Operating segments  Electronic and Functional Materials                3  %         - %         3 %        3  %       (1 )%       2 %  Coatings and Infrastructure Solutions              -            -           -          3           -          3  Agricultural Sciences                             (2 )          2           -          1           -          1  Performance Materials                              6            2           8          2           1          3  Performance Plastics                               2            6           8         (2 )         6          4  Feedstocks and Energy                             (1 )          3           2          1          (1 )        -  Total                                              2  %         3 %         5 %        1  %        2  %       3 %  Geographic areas  United States                                      4  %         5 %         9 %        1  %        3  %       4 %  Europe, Middle East and Africa                     1            2           3          1           2          3  Rest of World                                      -            3           3         (1 )         1          -  Total                                              2  %         3 %         5 %        1  %        2  %       3 %        Sales Volume and Price by Operating Segment and        Three Months Ended                  Nine Months Ended  Geographic Area, Excluding Divestitures (1)               Sep 30, 2014                        Sep 30, 2014  Percentage change from prior year                Volume       Price       Total      Volume       Price      Total  Operating segments  Electronic and Functional Materials                3  %         - %         3 %        3 %        (1 )%        2 %  Coatings and Infrastructure Solutions              -            -           -          3           -           3  Agricultural Sciences                             (2 )          2           -          1           -           1  Performance Materials                              6            2           8          2           1           3  Performance Plastics                               3            6           9          -           6           6  Feedstocks and Energy                             (1 )          3           2          1          (1 )         -  Total                                              2  %         3 %         5 %        1 %         2  %        3 %  Geographic areas  United States                                      4  %         5 %         9 %        1 %         3  %        4 %  . . .  

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Q3 Earnings Scorecard


Q3 Earnings Scorecard

Including all of this morning's earnings announcements, we now have now Q3 results from 245 S&P 500 members that combined account for 60.2% of the index's total market capitalization. Total earnings for these 245 companies are up +4.3% from the period last year, with 70.2% beating earnings estimates. Total revenues for these companies are up a much stronger +4.6%, with 52.7% beating top-line estimates.

Here is the updated scorecard for the 245 S&P 500 companies that have reported results as of the morning of October 28, 2014. We have a very busy reporting docket after the close today as well, with more than 20 S&P 500 members reporting results.

How Do These Results Compare Historically

The charts below compare the earnings and revenue growth rates for the 245 S&P 500 members that have reported results with what we saw from the same group of companies in 2014 Q2 and the average for the preceding four quarters (though Q2).

Looking at the above comparison charts, three things stand out

  • The earnings growth rate is lower
  • The revenue growth rate is higher
  • There aren't that many surprises, with the earnings beat ratio a tad bit above the recent quarterly run rate and the revenue beat ratio on the weak side.

Tough comparisons at Bank of America (BAC) were a big reason for the lower Q3 earnings growth rate earlier in the reporting cycle. But the growth picture doesn't improve as much as it used to a few days back, as the chart below shows.

The bottom line from this analysis is that Q3 results are broadly in-line with what we have been seeing in other recent quarters. In a way, the Q3 earnings season is turning out to be a boring one. But I guess boring can be interpreted as a compliment in the current backdrop.

Sector Results – Leaders & Laggards

For 9 of the 16 Zacks sectors, we have seen Q3 results from two-thirds or more of each sector's respective market caps. Please look at the second column in the scorecard table that shows the percentage market cap of each sector that has reported results.

We discuss the Finance and Technology sectors at some length below, largely reflecting their big roles in the index. But results from both the sectors have been underwhelming and mixed at best. On the positive side, the two economically sensitive sectors of Basic Materials and Transportation are having good numbers.

For the Basic Materials sector, total earnings are up +29.7% on +5.2% higher revenues, with 75% of the companies beating EPS estimates and 50% coming ahead of top-line estimates. This is better performance than we have seen from the Basic Materials sector in recent quarters, largely reflecting improved performance form the chemicals and steel industries in the sector. Operating efficiencies (aka cost controls) are driving most of these gains as the global growth backdrop remains challenging, as the results from Dow Chemicals (DOW) show.

For the Finance sector, the largest earnings contributor to the S&P 500 index, total earnings for the 47 sector companies that have reported results already (out of 80 total) are up +0.9% on +4.1% higher revenues, with 63.8% of the sector companies beating EPS estimates and 55.3% coming ahead of top-line estimates. As mentioned earlier, Bank of America was a drag on the sector's growth picture; the growth rate looks better once BAC is excluded from the sector's results.

Results from the all-important Technology sector are on the weak side, with earnings growth rates and revenue beat ratios tracking below levels that we have become used to seeing from the sector. With earnings reports from more than 70% of the sector's market cap already out, the results thus far are fairly representative of the sector as whole.

Total earnings for the 72.3% of the Tech sector's market cap that has reported Q3 results are up +4.4% on +8.6% higher revenues, with 72.7% beating on earnings and  57.6% coming ahead of top-line estimates.

The charts below compare the Tech sector's results thus far with what we have seen from the sector in other recent quarters.

The Composite Q3 Picture

Looking at Q3 expectations as a whole, combining the actual results from the 245 S&P 500 members that have reported with estimates for the remaining 255, total earnings are expected to be up +4.5% on +3.1% higher revenues. The composite growth has been going up as more companies report and beat estimates.

The table below provides a summary view of composite Q3 expectations and compares them to actual results in Q2.

Our weekly Earnings Trends report, coming out tomorrow, provides a detailed update on the Q3 earnings season and expectations for het coming quarters. You can see the last Earnings Trends report here.

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DOW CHEMICAL (DOW): Free Stock Analysis Report
BANK OF AMER CP (BAC): Free Stock Analysis Report

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Q3 Earnings Scorecard


















Q3 Earnings Scorecard


Including all of this morning's earnings announcements, we now have now Q3 results from 245 S&P 500 members that combined account for 60.2% of the index's total market capitalization. Total earnings for these 245 companies are up +4.3% from the period last year, with 70.2% beating earnings estimates. Total revenues for these companies are up a much stronger +4.6%, with 52.7% beating top-line estimates.


Here is the updated scorecard for the 245 S&P 500 companies that have reported results as of the morning of October 28, 2014. We have a very busy reporting docket after the close today as well, with more than 20 S&P 500 members reporting results.


How Do These Results Compare Historically


The charts below compare the earnings and revenue growth rates for the 245 S&P 500 members that have reported results with what we saw from the same group of companies in 2014 Q2 and the average for the preceding four quarters (though Q2).


Looking at the above comparison charts, three things stand out


  • The earnings growth rate is lower
  • The revenue growth rate is higher
  • There aren't that many surprises, with the earnings beat ratio a tad bit above the recent quarterly run rate and the revenue beat ratio on the weak side.

Tough comparisons at Bank of America (BAC) were a big reason for the lower Q3 earnings growth rate earlier in the reporting cycle. But the growth picture doesn't improve as much as it used to a few days back, as the chart below shows.


The bottom line from this analysis is that Q3 results are broadly in-line with what we have been seeing in other recent quarters. In a way, the Q3 earnings season is turning out to be a boring one. But I guess boring can be interpreted as a compliment in the current backdrop.


Sector Results – Leaders & Laggards


For 9 of the 16 Zacks sectors, we have seen Q3 results from two-thirds or more of each sector's respective market caps. Please look at the second column in the scorecard table that shows the percentage market cap of each sector that has reported results.


We discuss the Finance and Technology sectors at some length below, largely reflecting their big roles in the index. But results from both the sectors have been underwhelming and mixed at best. On the positive side, the two economically sensitive sectors of Basic Materials and Transportation are having good numbers.


For the Basic Materials sector, total earnings are up +29.7% on +5.2% higher revenues, with 75% of the companies beating EPS estimates and 50% coming ahead of top-line estimates. This is better performance than we have seen from the Basic Materials sector in recent quarters, largely reflecting improved performance form the chemicals and steel industries in the sector. Operating efficiencies (aka cost controls) are driving most of these gains as the global growth backdrop remains challenging, as the results from Dow Chemicals (DOW) show.


For the Finance sector, the largest earnings contributor to the S&P 500 index, total earnings for the 47 sector companies that have reported results already (out of 80 total) are up +0.9% on +4.1% higher revenues, with 63.8% of the sector companies beating EPS estimates and 55.3% coming ahead of top-line estimates. As mentioned earlier, Bank of America was a drag on the sector's growth picture; the growth rate looks better once BAC is excluded from the sector's results.


Results from the all-important Technology sector are on the weak side, with earnings growth rates and revenue beat ratios tracking below levels that we have become used to seeing from the sector. With earnings reports from more than 70% of the sector's market cap already out, the results thus far are fairly representative of the sector as whole.


Total earnings for the 72.3% of the Tech sector's market cap that has reported Q3 results are up +4.4% on +8.6% higher revenues, with 72.7% beating on earnings and  57.6% coming ahead of top-line estimates.


The charts below compare the Tech sector's results thus far with what we have seen from the sector in other recent quarters.


The Composite Q3 Picture


Looking at Q3 expectations as a whole, combining the actual results from the 245 S&P 500 members that have reported with estimates for the remaining 255, total earnings are expected to be up +4.5% on +3.1% higher revenues. The composite growth has been going up as more companies report and beat estimates.


The table below provides a summary view of composite Q3 expectations and compares them to actual results in Q2.


Our weekly Earnings Trends report, coming out tomorrow, provides a detailed update on the Q3 earnings season and expectations for het coming quarters. You can see the last Earnings Trends report here.


Note: Want more articles from this author? Scroll up to the top of this article and click the FOLLOW AUTHOR button to get an email each time a new article is published.
 



DOW CHEMICAL (DOW): Free Stock Analysis Report
BANK OF AMER CP (BAC): Free Stock Analysis Report

Read the analyst report on SPY


Zacks Investment Research








 

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T-Mobile Adds 1.4 Mil Customers With Cheaper Plans

T-Mobile US (NYSE:TMUS) late Monday said it added a better-than-expected 1.4 million postpaid subscribers in Q3 and raised full-year customer targets. The No. 4 U.S. wireless operator’s cheaper ‘Un-Carrier’ plans are attracting customers, though at the expense of its bottom line and the entire industry.

T-Mobile, 67%-owned by Deutsche Telekom (OTCPK:DTEGY) widened its loss to 12 cents a share vs. 5 cents a year earlier. Revenue rose 10% to $7.35 billion.

T-Mobile now expects to add 4.3 million to 4.7 million net new branded postpaid customers in 2014. It had said it expected to add 3 million to 3.5 million.

T-Mobile gained 2.3 million customers overall in Q3, significantly more than many of its rivals.

“Despite our competitors’ best efforts, the Un-carrier revolution made huge advances in the third quarter with record net new customers,” said John Legere, President and CEO of T-Mobile. “More proof of the resurgent strength of our brand and the massive momentum behind the Un-carrier consumer movement.”

The wireless operator has used lower-priced plans and incentives as large as $650 to woo customers from rival operators.

AT&T (NYSE:T), Verizon (NYSE:VZ) and Sprint (NYSE:S) have had to cut prices to try to keep pace. AT&T and Verizon reported weaker-than-expected earnings. earlier this month.

Also fueling subscriber growth in Q3 and the rest of the year is the new Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 P

T-Mobile shares closed down 0.5% to 27.99 on the stock market today, ahead of the Q3 report.

Follow Ed Carson Low on Twitter at @IBD_ECarson.

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lunes, 27 de octubre de 2014

DOW™ Ultrafiltration Technology Delivers Water Savings, Exceptional Bacteria Removal in New Haier Eco-Friendly Washing Machine


Through a joint development with Dow Water & Process Solutions (DW&PS), Haier Group has commercialized the first Casarte eco-friendly washing machine enabled by DOW™ Ultrafiltration (UF) Technology. The washing machine is designed and built with the new DOW PURINZE™ UF module that facilitates more than 30 percent reduction in water consumption while improving water quality by removing as much as 99 percent of common bacteria1.



"With the integration of the PURINZE™ UF module, we are bringing more sustainable clothes washing to life," said Wenwei Li, R&D director for Haier Casarte eco-friendly washing machine. "The improved water quality of this machine delivers exceptional cleaning performance. The PURINZE™ UF module removes as much as 99 percent of common bacteria during washing, which significantly improves hygiene and brings healthier clothes to the users. Because of the excellent filtration performance, water consumption was reduced by more than 30 percent -- another significant breakthrough in washing machines, addressing water scarcity issues and resonating well with a more and more sustainable consumer lifestyle."



It is an industry first to apply ultrafiltration technology to washing machines. The PURINZE™ module runs continuously during washing, and based on testing performed by Casarte can last as long as the lifetime of the washing machine. Composed of porous hollow fibers about 20-30 nanometers in diameter, the module allows water molecules to pass through while blocking bacteria and mites. As a result, as much as 99 percent of common bacteria and mites2, as well as other dirt and contaminants are removed from the water and discharged from the washing machine.



"This successful application speaks to our commitment to providing innovative solutions that address world challenges, such as the need for hygiene in a water-stressed world," said Cedella Beazley, filtration business unit director at DW&PS. "At Dow, we listen to the market before we innovate. We will continue to explore new opportunities in the residential appliance market segment, bringing more sustainable solutions to consumers."



The washing machine project falls under the strategic collaboration between Dow and Haier, which began in 2010 to provide innovative and differentiated products for consumers. In the past few years, DW&PS and Haier have collaborated in diversified formats in the area of residential water purification, including using DOW FILMTEC™ Reverse Osmosis (RO) components for Haier's high-end residential water purification products, and applying DOW PURINZE™ UF module to the first eco-friendly washing machine.



"The close collaboration between Haier and Dow allows us to conduct cross-business activities to create innovative solutions," said Snehal Desai, global business director for DW&PS. "In today's increasingly competitive market, a successful business is defined not only by how good your products are, but also by how well you collaborate with your customers to respond to the needs of the value chain. It's exciting to see our mutual commitment to creating game-changing technologies, and we look forward to continuing this partnership in the future."



1 Bacteria testing done by China Testing & Inspection Institute for Household Electric Appliances
2 Mite testing done by China?s National Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Center For Disease Control & Prevention



About Dow Water & Process Solutions



A global leader in sustainable separation and purification technology, Dow Water & Process Solutions is making a clear impact in the world. We're helping to make water safer and more accessible, food taste better, pharmaceuticals more effective and industries more efficient and spearheading the development of sustainable technologies that integrate water and energy requirements. Dow Water & Process Solutions offers a broad portfolio of ion exchange resins, reverse osmosis membranes, ultrafiltration membranes, fine particle filters and electrodeionization products, with strong positions in a number of major application areas, including industrial and municipal water, industrial processes, pharmaceuticals, power, residential water and waste and water reuse.www.dowwaterandprocess.com.






 

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Goldman predicts new S&P highs. So why are traders bearish?


Investors may still be shellshocked by October's steep selloff, but Goldman Sachs is as bullish as ever, predicting the market could set a new high by year-end.

In a recent note to investors, Goldman Sachs chief U.S. strategist David Kostin said the S&P 500 will rally to 2,050 by year's end. They see a combination of positioning (particularly stock buybacks), sentiment, and historic trading patterns leading the market higher by nearly 5 percent from here to all-time peaks.

But Goldman isn't stopping there.

"We remain confident in the fundamentals of U.S. growth and believe the S&P 500 will rally 14percent to 2,150 in 12 months," Kostin wrote.

Usually investors greet such bullishness with enthusiasm. But the recent volatility and the magnitude of the market rally in the past five years has made some market participants reluctant to pull the trigger.

 "I have a hard time seeing a rally of that magnitude," said Gina Sanchez, founder of Chantico Global. "I have tremendous respect for David Kostin,and I think that he has generally been spot-on on the market. The problem that I see here is that the fundamentals just don't support it."

For Sanchez, a CNBC contributor, the S&P 500 is already fully priced for an economic recovery. That makes it hard to see any more significant moves to the upside. Yet she sees equities as one of the only places for investors to put their money even if she doesn't believe higher prices are justified.

"There's nothing else to buy," she said. "I'm recommending that my clients own equities and continue to buy equities."

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The technicals may also be at odds with Goldman's longer-term target even if Kostin's year-end target is attainable.

"I don't think we can get up that high," said Mark Newton, chief technical analyst at Greywolf Execution Partners, of Goldman's 2,150 price expectations. Though Newton echoes Kostin's note that November and December are typically bullish as buyback activity usually increases, "we need to consolidate some of these gains before the market can go much higher," he explained.

Looking at a short-term chart of the S&P 500, Newton sees the index breaking below an intermediate uptrend – but not by 10 percent – only to recover its August lows. "The pullback didn't prove all that meaningful thus far," he said.

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Newton's longer-term chart shows the S&P 500 remains well above an uptrend begun in 2009. Nonetheless, he worries about deteriorating momentum and breadth. "Any rally into the end of the year likely will be a selling opportunity next year," he recommended. "Although I think I'm constructive probably between mid-November and the end of the year, I think next year could be where some of those problems start to take hold."

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Most active New York Stock Exchange-traded stocks












NEW YORK (AP) -- A look at New York Stock Exchange 10 most-active stocks at 1 p.m.:


AT&T Inc. rose .6 percent to $34.07 with 10,463,200 shares traded.


Bank of America Corp. fell 1.0 percent to $16.55 with 25,242,600 shares traded.


Delta Air Lines rose 1.1 percent to $39.88 with 9,882,100 shares traded.


Dow Chemical Co. fell 3.4 percent to $46.56 with 10,538,300 shares traded.







Ford Motor Co. was unchanged at $13.79 with 27,573,900 shares traded.


General Electric Co. fell .7 percent to $25.46 with 10,342,300 shares traded.


Halliburton Co. fell 6.4 percent to $52.21 with 11,036,600 shares traded.


Rite Aid Corp. rose 1.5 percent to $4.83 with 12,748,000 shares traded.


Schlumberger Ltd. fell 4.6 percent to $92.74 with 9,378,400 shares traded.


Twitter Inc. fell 2.2 percent to $48.86 with 18,246,700 shares traded.







 

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Here's How to Get a New iPhone Every Year For the Rest Of Your Life












Gary Krakow



10/27/14 - 11:20 AM EDT


NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Sprint

(S) is expanding its "iPhone for Life" program making it easier for participants to upgrade their Apple

(AAPL) iPhones every year. By agreeing to the new one year option, program subscribers will be able to rent rather than buy the newest iPhone model as soon as it's released.


Originally announced last month, Sprint's iPhone for Life plan allowed customers to upgrade their phones every two years. Under the new option, customers can now upgrade their iPhone every twelve months which corresponds to Apple's recent timetable for releasing new iPhone models. Sprint will continue to offer the 24 month plan.


Read More: 10 Stocks Carl Icahn Loves in 2014


 
Pricing for the new one-year option is based on model and capacity, with a 16GB iPhone 6 coming in at $30 per month, while a 16GB iPhone 6 Plus costs $35 per month. This compares to $20 per month for a base model iPhone 6 and $25 per month for a 6 Plus on the 24-month iPhone for Life term.


Sprint's new CEO, Marcelo Claure boasted, "The iPhone for Life Plan gives customers the lowest monthly cost in the industry for acquiring an iPhone. We are making it easy and affordable for consumers to get what they want."


Analyst Colby Synesael of Cowen & Company thinks with the addition of "iPhone for Life" Sprint now has the most compellingly priced iPhone offer on the market. "As such (Sprint) should be in a relatively better position than it would have otherwise to take share particularly from AT&T and Verizon," Synesael said via email. "This however didn't start to occur until the iPhone 6/6+ was launched in late September, so it's less likely to show up in C3Q14 results but should be noticeable in C4Q14 results."


Sprint's quarterly earnings call is scheduled for Nov. 3. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect the company to announce a loss of 6 cents per share on $8.59 billion in revenue.


Synesael added that he thought it was "unlikely" any of the carriers including T-Mobile TMUS, would match the Sprint offer, as AT&T

(T) and Verizon

(VZ) no longer offer unlimited data plans, and T-Mobile feeling "that it needs to have a more price competitive offer than AT&T/Verizon but not Sprint."


Sprint shares were off 0.66% to $6.04 in early morning trading in New York.


The carrier is also making the iPhone 5s available to lease, beginning in mid-November. Customers will be able to get a 16GB iPhone 5s for $18 a month on a 24 month agreement, a 32GB for $21 per month and the 64GB model for $24 per month. Users don't need a down payment for the new iPhone for Life plans if their credit score is good. At the end of the lease agreement, customers have the choice of turning in the device and leasing another phone, buying the leased iPhone, continue the lease on a month-to-month basis or return the phone and end the service.


Sprint is quick to point out that its new one-year deal "beats Verizon Wireless' upgrade policy which was recently changed to make customers pay off 75% of the balance which is 18 months of device payments to get a new iPhone." 


Paul deSa, analyst with Bernstein & Company isn't sure whether Sprint's new "killer plan" will make a big difference in the long run. Via email, deSa said it's "easy for competitors to imitate", "not clear that consumers really care" and "generally plans make the carriers reported numbers look better in the short term, via accounting, but lead to more uncertainty about actual value creation/longer term implications."


Read More: Can These 22 New Restaurant Foods and Drinks Feed Investors Too?--


Written by Gary Krakow in New York.


To submit a news tip, send an email to tips@thestreet.com.






 

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U.S. stocks retreat; Energy stocks sell off

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks retreated on Monday, pausing after a big rally last week, as big losses in the energy and materials sector weighed on the main benchmark.


Crude oil prices plummeted after Goldman Sachs analysts slashed their target price to $75 from $90, resulting in a sharp pullback by energy stocks.


The S&P 500

























SPX, -0.41%





















 moved slightly lower, after recording its biggest weekly gain of the year last week.


The Dow Jones Industrial Average

























DJIA, -0.23%





















 edged lower, with nearly two thirds of its components trading in negative territory.


The Nasdaq Composite

























COMP, -0.52%





















  also began the day trading lower.


Across the Atlantic relatively sanguine results of a series of tests of the health of the European banking system were overshadowed by worry over weak German data, sending European stock markets lower.


This week, markets will focus on the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, where the central bank is expected to announce the end of quantitative easing. How QE worked in the U.S. — and could work in Europe.


Traders will be looking to see if the Fed drops the"considerable period" language in referencing its plans keeping rates low, at its two-day policy meeting, which concludes Wednesday. As several Fed officials have come out with dovish comments recently, investors largely expect that guidance to be reiterated.


"There will be no press conference for this meeting therefore, the chances for a shock pause in tapering is very low," said Nour Al-Hammoury, chief market strategist at ADS Securities in Abu Dhabi, in a note. He added the market would likely not see the sort of wild swings that have characterized benchmark averages over the past few weeks until that Fed announcement.


Goldman sees another 10% gain for stocks: The S&P 500 should climb to 2,050 by year-end and rise by 10% to 2,150 in 10 months, said Goldman Sachs's chief equity strategist David Kostin in a note to clients Friday. He said that move will come as "investors recognize the durability of U.S. growth, despite faltering global activity."


The September reading on pending-home sales will be released at 10 a.m. Eastern Time. The week will also deliver data on durable goods, gross domestic product and consumer spending. Growth data will be the highlight, with the government expected to report economic expansion of 3% in the third quarter.


Stocks to watch: GoPro Inc.

























GPRO, -4.78%





















 shares retreated, extending a sharp fall from Friday, when Oppenheimer analysts initiated a sell rating on the wearable camera maker.






 

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